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Market Handbook

Prop 13 by the Numbers: Assessed vs. Market Value

The gap between what a San Clemente home is assessed at and what it would sell for, measured with public data, and why it matters when you read a listing.

MARKET HANDBOOK · SEPTEMBER 2026

Two numbers describe every California home: the price it would sell for and the value it is taxed on. Proposition 13 lets them drift apart for as long as an owner stays. This handbook page puts numbers on that drift for San Clemente, using the public data behind the weekly reports.

Two values for every home

The market value is what a buyer would pay, and it moves with the market. The assessed value is what the county taxes, and it changes in two ways: it rises by inflation or 2% a year, whichever is less, and it is reset to the purchase price when the home is sold. The state’s rules are set out in Proposition 13, approved by voters on June 6, 1978.

The reports on this site describe market values. The tax bill describes assessed values. Reading one against the other is how you tell whether a listed tax figure will apply to you: it will not, if the home has been sold since the assessment was set.

Long run

An earlier purchase, seen from today

How wide the gap can grow: what a 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015 or 2020 purchase in ZIP 92672 looks like now.

A purchase in an earlier year, seen from today

Zillow typical value for ZIP 92672. The assessed value is shown at its highest possible path (2% a year, the most Proposition 13 allows; in low-inflation years the allowed increase is smaller, so an actual assessed value would be equal or lower), and never above today’s market value. Taxed at 1.15%. Illustration only.

Bill on an earlier purchase versus a purchase today
Bought inTypical value thenAssessed value today (at most)Market value todayBill on the earlier purchase (at most)Bill on a purchase today
2000$310,728$519,978$1,747,711$5,980$20,099
2005$713,386$1,081,255$1,747,711$12,434$20,099
2010$529,611$727,042$1,747,711$8,361$20,099
2015$687,141$854,373$1,747,711$9,825$20,099
2020$1,017,385$1,145,741$1,747,711$13,176$20,099

The longer an owner has held a home, the wider the gap between the two bills, which is one reason a home’s listing price and its current tax bill can look so far apart. It is also why the tax on the home you buy will be based on what you pay, not on what the seller pays.

Reading a listing’s tax figure

  • Ignore the seller’s bill for your budget. Yours will be based on your price.
  • Use about 1.1% to 1.25% of the price a year as a first estimate, and more where special taxes apply.
  • Expect a supplemental bill in the months after closing for the difference between the old and new assessed value.
  • Check the special taxes. Mello-Roos and similar charges are not limited by Proposition 13.
The data

Where values sit against the recent peak

Assessed values can be reduced temporarily when market value falls below them (Proposition 8). Here is how San Clemente’s values compare with the last five years.

Today against the last five years

Zillow typical value for ZIP 92672. A temporary reduction under Prop 8 depends on a home’s own market value on January 1, not on an area average.

Typical value now and at earlier points
WhenTypical valueCompared with now
Latest (Aug 2026)$1,747,711—
A year ago$1,626,049−7% vs now
Two years ago$1,608,576−8% vs now
Highest in the last five years (Aug 2026)$1,747,711+0% vs now

The typical value today is at or near its highest point of the last five years ($1,747,711 in Aug 2026), so at the area level there is little sign of assessed values sitting above market values right now. An individual home can still differ from the area average, and a review is free to request if you think yours does.

Worked example

The next ten years, as an illustration

A purchase at today’s typical value, with the assessed value at the 2% cap and the market value rising 3% a year.

What the bill could look like, year by year

The starting point is the typical home value in ZIP 92672: $1,747,711 in Aug 2026. The tax rate used is 1.15% (the 1.00% base and a round 0.15% for bonds and local charges). The assessed value grows at the 2% ceiling, and the market value at 3% a year, only to show how the two separate.

The bill year by year, assessed value against market value
YearTaxed value (2% cap)Bill on that valueMarket value at 3% a yearBill at market valueGap between the two
Year 1$1,747,711$20,099$1,747,711$20,099$0
Year 2$1,782,666$20,501$1,800,143$20,702$17,477
Year 3$1,818,319$20,911$1,854,147$21,323$35,828
Year 5$1,891,779$21,755$1,967,065$22,621$75,286
Year 10$2,088,677$24,020$2,280,367$26,224$191,690

Put simply, a purchase at $1,747,711 starts near $20,099 a year, or $1,675 a month. Ten years on, the owner’s bill has grown to roughly $24,020 at most; someone buying an identical home then would begin near $26,224. Left out here: special taxes, the $7,000 homeowners’ exemption and any Proposition 8 reduction.

Common questions

Is the assessed value ever higher than the market value?

It can be, in a falling market. Proposition 8 lets an owner ask the assessor for a temporary reduction when the market value on January 1 is below the assessed value.

Why do two similar homes have very different tax bills?

Because each is assessed from its own most recent sale or new construction, then raised by no more than 2% a year.

Does the percentage change in values tell me the change in tax?

No. The bill follows the assessed value, which rises by at most 2% a year while the owner stays.

What is the source of the values?

Zillow’s Home Value Index, described on the market handbook page.

Keep exploring

Talk to a lender. Rates, loan programs and approvals come from lenders, not from websites or real estate agents. Talk to your own mortgage broker, or use our preferred lender, Rodrigo Ballon with CrossCountry Mortgage, at 858-735-0255. You are always free to choose any lender you like, and you can verify any lender’s license at nmlsconsumeraccess.org.

Sources

General information for orientation, not legal, tax, financial or appraisal advice. Details change; confirm anything that matters with the official source, your lender and your agent.

Want the Numbers for a Specific Home?

Rudy can estimate the tax on any home you are considering and connect you with a title company and lender who can confirm it.

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